League baseline and match setting
At the results cutoff, Athletic's league line is 3-3-3, with 12 goals scored and nine conceded. Real Sociedad's is 6-1-3, with 19 scored and 18 conceded. Dividing by matches gives Athletic 1.33 goals for and 1.00 against per game, compared with Real Sociedad's 1.90 and 1.80. The latter has more attacking output but also more concessions; neither rate adjusts for opponent quality.
| Team | Matches | W-D-L | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points | Rank snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 9 | 3-3-3 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| Real Sociedad | 10 | 6-1-3 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 5 |
Home defence against an away goal exchange
Athletic's home defensive base
The venue split sharpens that baseline. Across five home league matches, Athletic are 2-2-1, with nine goals scored and four conceded. That is 1.80 for and 0.80 against per home game. The four-goal total is a clear defensive marker, but it remains a five-match, venue-specific description rather than a guarantee of how the derby will develop.
Real Sociedad's away counterpoint
Real Sociedad's away sample is also five matches: 3-0-2, 12 scored and 11 conceded, or 2.40 and 2.20 per game. In the two away fixtures included in the equal recent window, the wins at Malaga (5-2) and Valencia (3-2), both teams scored. Together, those facts describe an away profile with goals at both ends; the aggregate does not establish that every one of the five away matches had a goal from each side.
Recent league form and opponent context
Equal five-match league windows produce a different recent picture. Athletic are 1-3-1 with six for and four against, or 1.20 and 0.80 per game; Real Sociedad are 4-0-1 with 13 for and 10 against, or 2.60 and 2.00. The chart keeps the equal denominator visible and excludes Athletic's cup result.
Goals in the equal last-five window
| Team | Goals scored | Goals conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 6 | 4 |
| Real Sociedad | 13 | 10 |
Athletic's sequence runs Getafe 4-0, Levante 1-3, Valencia 0-0, Alaves 0-0 and Elche 1-1, newest first. Real Sociedad's is Levante 2-1, Malaga 5-2, Deportivo La Coruna 3-2, Valencia 3-2 and Atletico Madrid 0-3. Thus Athletic's latest league result was a clean-sheet win, while Real Sociedad's recent wins include two away victories; the opponent mix is not strength-adjusted.
Scheduling, cup context and availability
Timing changes the context. The official schedule places the derby at San Mamés on 1 November at 20:00 UTC (21:00 CET). Athletic's cup tie at AE Prat began at 21:00 CET on 29 October and finished 6-1, according to the club's official cup report. The two kickoffs are 72.0 hours apart. Real Sociedad's last listed match was the 2-1 home win over Levante on 25 October at 17:30 UTC, making its interval 170.5 hours. These are kickoff-to-kickoff scheduling gaps, not measurements of exact recovery.
That 6-1 should not be pooled into La Liga form. The cup report records Rego starting and Gerenabarrena entering in the 78th minute; Vizcay, Imga and Selton scored late. Athletic's squad update lists Padilla, Rego, Hugo Rincon and Gerenabarrena with first-team numbers, while Canales is a first-team player using a reserve number; Vesga had departed for Almeria. These are observed squad movements and participation, not evidence that any one change caused the cup score or will determine league selection.
Availability remains provisional. AS, attributing the assessment to Terzic, reported Sancet was expected to be available after full training, while Ruiz de Galarreta was still unavailable; this is not a confirmed matchday squad. Real Sociedad's official training report confirms preparation at Zubieta on 29 October but not individual clearance. The club's official transfer announcement records Hector Fort's move from Barcelona through 2030/31 and adds a fullback option; after the Levante win, AS reported him looking ahead to his first derby, but no start or season-minute claim follows. Odriozola remained absent and Beitia was recovering in the latest availability report, which also described improving availability and several wide attacking options without a final squad or XI.
Method and coverage
The coverage uses 2026/27 completed La Liga matches through 30 October 2026 at 02:00 UTC: nine for Athletic and 10 for Real Sociedad. Venue records retain their five-match denominators, while the direct recent comparison uses five completed domestic league matches each. Rates are total goals divided by matches and rounded to two decimals. Shooting totals are available across those season samples: 134 shots and 38 on target for Athletic, and 144 and 52 for Real Sociedad, but no expected-goals figures are used, and shot volume is not treated as chance quality. Head-to-head data are omitted because current team and schedule evidence is more relevant here.
Limitations
These samples are descriptive, not predictive. Opponents are not strength-adjusted, so Athletic's home defence and Real Sociedad's away goal exchange cannot be ranked on identical difficulty. Season standings are a dated snapshot, and five-match venue samples can move quickly. Final squads and starting lineups were unavailable at cutoff. The 72.0 and 170.5 figures describe scheduling intervals rather than recovery hours. Finally, goals and shots do not reveal chance quality. A short rest interval occurring alongside a result or a player's cup appearance does not prove causation; these figures identify context, not a guaranteed match script.
FAQ
When and where is the derby?
It is at San Mamés on 1 November 2026, with kickoff at 20:00 UTC (21:00 CET).
How do the venue records compare?
Athletic are 2-2-1 with a 9-4 goal record in five home league matches; Real Sociedad are 3-0-2 with 12-11 in five away matches.
What does the equal last-five sample show?
Athletic have six goals scored and four conceded, while Real Sociedad have 13 scored and 10 conceded across five completed league matches each.
Is Athletic's 6-1 cup win part of the league chart?
No. It is lower-division cup context and is excluded from league form, although its timing is relevant to the 72.0-hour scheduling interval.
Are final squads and lineups confirmed?
No. They were unavailable at the cutoff. Sancet was expected to be available, but that expectation was not a confirmed matchday squad, and no starting XI was confirmed.